Astro’s BillsMafia 2020 NFL Post-Draft Review

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Brandon Beane hit Value after Value in this draft, a combined 238 draft slots if you ignore the pick of a kicker.  Jake Fromm’s +129 Value beats last year’s Tommy Sweeney’s +62, Jaquan Johnson’s +60, and Vosean Joseph’s +79. 

RD1 Stefon Diggs +1000 vs Ed Oliver’s +2 

RD2 Epenesa——+31 Value vs Cody Ford’s -13

RD3 Moss———-+2 Value vs Dawson Knox’s +20 vs Devin Singletary’s -42 

RD4 Gabriel Davis–+13 Value vs no RD4 last year

RD5 Fromm——–+129 Value vs Vosean Joseph +79

RD6A Bass———– -78 Reach vs Jaquan Johnson’s +60

RD6B Hodgins——-+41 Value vs Jaquan Johnson’s +60

RD7 Jackson——–+22 Value vs Sweeney’s +62 and Daryl Johnson’s -101 Reach

RD2—Pick 54 DE A.J. Epenesa, Iowa      #1-ranked DL5T

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Brandon Beane’s patience did it again. Just like he did with Ed Oliver at #9, he let A.J. Epenesa fall to him for a +31 Value on our Big Board. speed and burst at 280 pounds is mismatch. effort, and hustle keep him involved in plays even though his closing speed isn’t at an elite level.  game is about power and surprising quickness. He models his game after J.J. Watt. He’s a high motor player with a massive wingspan and the ability to disrupt in both the run game and the passing game. Buffalo will get a Hard-hat-and-lunch-pail player with enough pass-rush skills: He’s 4th in Career Sacks among EDGEs (Weaver, Young, Anae, Epenesa). He had 49 tackles, 14.5 TFLs, 11.5 sacks and forced four fumbles during the 2019 season. The huge Samoan is quiet, no big ego, and lets his play do the talking. He’s humble and cares about other people, and put the team first: he wasn’t rushed into starting, believing “I always had the mindset that my time will come”. He’s eerily similar in his Combine scores to <b><a href=”” target=”_blank” >Clelin Ferrell</a></b>.   +31 Value.

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RD3—Pick 86 RB Zack Moss, Utah         #4-ranked RB

The #Bills have now in back to back years drafted RBs that were in the top 2 in avoided tackles on RUSH att. among college RBs. In 2018- Devin Singletary 2nd (98 avoided tackles) Zach Moss T9th ( 55 avoided tackles). Zach Moss 2nd (89 avoided tackles). You’re not drafting him for speed or explosion. You’re drafting him as the one-cut banger whose game is similar to Frank Gore and Marshawn Lynch. Santana Moss and Sinorice Moss are the running back’s cousins. Santana was a first-round pick of the Jets in the 2001 NFL draft and had a 14-year career in which he compiled more than 10-thousand career receiving yards. +2 Value.

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RD4—Pick 128  WR Gabriel Davis, UCF     #15 -ranked WR

Junior with highest receiving yards in FBS (Bayless, Gandy-Golden, Duvernay ahead but they’re seniors), with 1241 yds., also most improvement in YPC vs AP from ’18 to ’19 –a whopping 10 ypc. caught 72 passes for 1,241 yards and 12 TDs this season. I liked Omar Bayless better, but Davis has the size and box-out skills down in the red zone. . Better separation at target than Collin Johnson or Antonio Gandy-Golden. Daniel Jeremiah describes him as a “pure, vertical stretch wide receiver. Everything he does is about getting down the field.” Tony Pauline says he’s a “big, game-controlling receiver with terrific hands.” +13 Value.

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RD5—Pick 167  QB Jake Fromm,  Georgia    #6-ranked QB

  1. of-982 for 8,224 passing yards and 78 touchdowns, while only throwing 18 interceptions. Has been in 3 straight SEC championships. Patient, part Madden, part maddeningly-inaccurate passes at times, 42 SEC starts, better than average arm for short and intermediate routes.  Throw lacked horsepower at the Combine. Streak of 5 games under 50% accuracy. Daboll remembers Tua vs Fromm in the Georgia-Alabama championship. Too good to pass up if only to hold clipboard and do good works in the community.  +129 Value.
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RD6A—Pick 188* K Tyler Bass  Ga. Southern  unranked

Lou Groza semifinalist, and Steven Hauschka is reaching retirement, but BAss was picked over Kenny Willekes, Trey Adams, Khalil Davis, Yasir Durant, J.R. Reed, and Donovan Peoples-Jones. Blankenship was the Lou Groza Award-winner and still on the board, as were a parade of CBs. Bass was a perfect 45/45 on XP and 19-21 on FG attempts in 2018.   But… Bass has a leg. Here’s a 58-yarder. Braden Mann, the Lou Groza winner, was picked by the Jets shortly after. The No. 188 acquired from Browns as part of Wyatt Teller trade.      -78 Reach.

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RD6B—Pick 207* WR Isaiah Hodgins, Oregon St #19-ranked WR

Very productive, Hodgins led country with 27 first down receptions..  Highest YDS/game divided by QBR of their QB vs AP-ranked tall and lanky, not speedy or strong (2nd-lowest bench with 9), great athleticism, key: precise route running. He showed he’s for real (and a help to Josh) with this  reach-behind TD   produced 2,322 receiving yards in three seasons The No. 207 was acquired from Patriots was part of Russell Bodine trade. +41 Value.

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RD7—Pick 239 CB Dane Jackson, Pittsburgh  #22-ranked CB

 The Bills visited the Pitt-Syracuse game on 10/19/2019 (Pitt 27, Syracuse 20) but the Orange avoided him. He’s a nice zone corner with a lock-tight tackle, and remember that Josh Norman is 32 and on a 1-year contract. The No. 239 acquired from Vikings was part of Stefon Diggs trade. +22 Value.

In summary, Beane drafted high-character guys who all will have a shot to help the Bills become championship-caliber this year and for years to come. It showed tireless scouting at work, with 5 of the picks from scouted schools. Beane filled needs (an aging EDGE corps, a complementary back to Singletary, a couple of tall red-zone WRs, and a good zone corner who wraps up. I’m suspending judgment on the kicker; distance is important in New Era, but accuracy prevents wide right.  Grade: A-

Editor’s babble: Wow. What a draft class, some expected, some a surprise. Big thanks to Dean Kindig for his terrific contributions to our blog. You can find Dean on Twitter @TCBILLS_Astro.